Some origin countries also o ered incentives to their migrants at least a year prior to the
pandemic, such as cash rebates for telegraphic transfers (Pakistan) and a cash incentive if
migrants send home at least $1,500 so as to get a 2-percent incentive (Bangladesh).
Against the dollar
BUT these analysts overlooked the role of foreign exchange rates. In the Philippines, for
example, economist Alvin P. Ang of Ateneo de Manila University said currency appreciation
contributed to lesser remittance ows.
This, Ang says, sees the links of remittances to what economists call the “Dutch disease.”
Economists refer to the Dutch disease as a situation of growth in one economic sector and a
decline in another sector, with this trend occurring under conditions of currency appreciation.
As for remittances, it is said that depreciating currencies motivate migrants to send more or
equal amounts of money so that their families in home countries enjoy more incomes. If
foreign exchange rates appreciate, the tendency is for migrants abroad to send more so that
they catch up on the “high” foreign exchange rates they previously enjoyed.
Against the greenbuck, and citing end-2020 data from central banks, the Pakistani and Sri
Lankan rupees weakened by some 3.17 and 3.27 percent, respectively. The Mexican and
Dominican pesos depreciated by 4.57 and 9.68 percent, respectively. The Kenyan shilling also
weakened by some 7.73 percent.
Little pressure
THE Philippine peso (5.33 percent), Nigerian naira (24.12) and Kyrgz som (9.77) appreciated
against the US dollar last year. The Bangladeshi Taka ended 2020 appreciating versus the US
tender by some 0.12 percent.
Nigeria’s sharp decline last year revealed the practice that migrants do not send through
formal channels. They bring money home and exchange dollars with unregulated money
changers market for higher exchange rates. At the same time, increased demand for foreign
currency had put pressure on the naira (the Nigerian currency) as o shore investors exited
Nigeria when the pandemic triggered uctuating global oil prices.
So just last December, the Central Bank of Nigeria shuttered naira-remittance accounts and
told money transfer organizations to pay remittance recipients in US dollar amounts, not in
naira. These measures, central bank o
cials hope, may direct more migrant remittances to
formal nancial channels.
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